March 22nd was a wild day for Solana. In the span of one week, we got two massive milestones that could fundamentally change SOL’s trajectory:
- March 17: SEC/CFTC classified SOL as a digital commodity (not a security) in landmark joint guidance
- March 22: Solana went live on Walmart’s OnePay platform with access to 3M+ monthly active users and potentially 150M weekly shoppers
As a founder trying to build a sustainable Web3 business, I’m trying to figure out what this actually means. Are we finally getting real institutional adoption? Or is this just retail hype dressed up with regulatory approval?
The Regulatory Win
The SEC commodity classification is massive for removing the securities overhang. SOL was named in enforcement actions against Binance—it was in regulatory purgatory. Now there’s legal certainty: it’s a commodity, which means:
- Spot ETF applications get easier
- Institutions can custody without securities compliance headaches
- Clear path for regulated derivatives and institutional products
Early data backs this up: Solana ETFs are drawing $1.45B in institutional inflows, with stronger institutional participation compared to XRP’s retail-driven funds.
The Retail Play
Walmart OnePay bringing SOL to 3M+ users is huge for mainstream accessibility. But here’s where I get confused: are users paying IN SOL, or just using Solana rails to move USDC?
If it’s the former, that’s real utility and SOL demand. If it’s the latter, Solana becomes fast infrastructure that doesn’t necessarily accrue value to the token itself.
The Strategic Question
Here’s my founder dilemma: Solana now has two potential paths:
Path A: Payments Network (Walmart use case)
- Optimize for stability, low fees, fast settlement
- Compete with Visa/Mastercard on performance
- Revenue from transaction volume, not token appreciation
Path B: DeFi Platform (Aave, Jupiter, Orca)
- Optimize for composability, MEV resistance, decentralization
- Capture value through fees and protocol ownership
- Revenue from DeFi activity and ecosystem growth
These paths require different optimizations. You can’t fully optimize for both.
What I’m Watching
Bitcoin got institutional legitimacy through ETFs ($200B+ AUM). Solana is getting retail legitimacy through Walmart. Which path matters more for long-term value?
From a business perspective, I care about sustainable revenue models. Does regulatory clarity + payment adoption = actual business opportunity for builders? Or are we just celebrating marketing wins while the hard work of monetization remains unsolved?
Curious what you all think—especially those building on Solana or working with institutional clients. Are these milestones the beginning of real adoption, or are we over-indexing on narrative?